Skip to main content

Health Reporters Easily Punked by Chocolate Study

Did you read about the new study showing chocolate helps you lose weight? I'm sure regular readers here weren't taken in, but you might want to show something to your friends who keep up with health "news." The authors of that study just revealed that it was a hoax to shine a light on the sloppiness of the health media. The study was real and the authors didn't lie about anything but their credentials, they just did a poor experiment, sent out press releases and paid the impressive-sounding journal The International Archives of Medicine 600 euros to publish it.

The study really did show greater weight loss in the chocolate group than the non-chocolate group and the control group, but...

Here’s a dirty little science secret: If you measure a large number of things about a small number of people, you are almost guaranteed to get a “statistically significant” result. Our study included 18 different measurements—weight, cholesterol, sodium, blood protein levels, sleep quality, well-being, etc.—from 15 people. (One subject was dropped.) That study design is a recipe for false positives.... With our 18 measurements, we had a 60% chance of getting some“significant” result with 0.05. (The measurements weren’t independent, so it could be even higher.) The game was stacked in our favor. It’s called p-hacking—fiddling with your experimental design and data to push p values under 0.05—and it’s a big problem. (Emphasis added.)

In other words, the weight loss results could have been luck--for instance, the women might have been on a certain place in their cycles. If the result had been lower blood sugar, some people in the control group might have been getting a cold or under stress--both things raise blood sugar. As for sleep and well-being, a thousand different things are more likely to affect those than a few bites of chocolate.

But the reporters--and even the prestigious sounding International Archives of Medicine, which purports to "rigorously review" articles--asked about none of this. Even a "fact checker" from Shape didn't ask for many details about the study. Quite a bit of nutritional science is like getting a diploma from a mail-order college in the Caribbean: answer a few questions, write a check, and you're official.  Health reporters recycle the articles until junk science becomes conventional wisdom, the same conventional wisdom you'll get from most medical professionals, because that's mostly where they (in general) learn about nutrition.

But...the chocolate is still good for you, isn't it? They selected bitter chocolate because it's a favorite of "whole food fanatics." Never mind that chocolate is highly processed--you can't even make a proper chocolate bar at home--or that the stuff they used (81% is bitter and chalky as aspirin) isn't the milky, sugary junk food the magazines and web sites showed.

For the full story, read this: http://io9.com/i-fooled-millions-into-thinking-chocolate-helps-weight-1707251800.

Comments

Galina L. said…
Once , when I arrived to my mom in Moscow, I found her cupboards well-stocked with a marmalade. She said to me that there were a lot in news about healthy benefits of a marmalade - candies made out of natural fruit juices(wonderful antyoxidants) with a lot of pectin (which magically lowers cholesterol and prevents a colon cancer), which supposed to turn it into a healthiest candy, especially if you remember that sugar is necessary for a brain health. It reminds me the situation in US with a chocolate and a red vine. There are a lot in news and even health blogs what makes candy-eaters feel better about their comfort food. While candies are candies and a vine is a vine.
Larcana said…
I read about this on Gawker...but I think Suppversity put this up as a real well done study, too. I'm not that surprised...I like chocolate but alas, it doesn't like me so I didn't change anything I would normally do. Kinda funny!
Lori Miller said…
And don't forget--marmalade is low in fat!

I'm beginning to think statistics needs to be a required course to get a degree in anything.
Lori Miller said…
I just talked to a Russian passer-by who recognized the service berry bushes in my front yard and said her mother made service berry jam (she had a Russian name for the bushes, though).
Galina L. said…
The fruit preserve made from that berry is very tasty. There are much more eatable berries , especially in the form of preserves than it is used as eatables in US. What is not a fantastic jam, could be used in a creation of vodka-infused drink. Here in US only a cranberry-infused vodka is known. A Hippophae berry is a good example. It is absolutely wonderful, but I saw it in Edmonton only as a decorative bush, no one thought about eating it or even making it into a drink.
Lori Miller said…
I've seen hippophae (sea buckthorn) around, but didn't know the fruits were edible.

I'm not much of a fruit eater, but even like a few service berries right off the bush when they turn black. Maybe rose hips and choke berries (aronia), which are prolific in my yard) could be used for a vodka infusion. I don't know about the choke berries since they fall off the bush, but even the birds won't eat the rose hips. I guess they prefer seeds to fruit--kind of like humans.
Galina L. said…
As far as I know, aronia (if the google translator is correct) is not eatable, in Russia people mix it with a sugar and let it ferment into a homemade alcoholic beverage. Rose hips are not used for eating in normal circumstances because in the middle of the hip are seeds surrounded by a lot of small thin very invasive needs which are better not to touch at all, left alone swallow. The thin layer of flesh is eatable and rather tasty(sweet+sour), but it is very thin.It is high in a vitamin C. In Russia people often collect rose hips, dry it uncrushed and use as a fruit tea.
In Russia a sea buckthorn is considered to be a very, very important medical plant, mostly due to a buckthorn oil which is used for hard to treat burns, trophic ulcers, radioactive burns. The oil people derive from seeds, but tasty berries contain it too. The oil and berries are used in many cases when their anty-inflammatory properties could be desirable. A vodka infusion made with the berries is a nice drink, better than made with cranberries. It is extremely hard to remove berries from a wild plant without a tree damage, people mostly deal with a cultivated variety which was changed from a wild one in a way which made a berries collection possible, or wait till frosty weather which makes possible to detatch berries from a branch without crushing. There are frozen buckhorn (oblepikha) berries for sale in some ethnic eastern European stores in US.
Lori Miller said…
Chokeberries aren't really edible, IMO, either. My mother used to make jelly out of them. It was awful and mostly went uneaten.

As you probably know, rose hips are a common ingredient in fruity teas here, too, especially up in Boulder at Celestial Seasonings where they make a lot of funky teas.

I had no idea sea buckthorn was medicinal. I just knew it as a hardy xeriscape plant.
Lori Miller said…
I just realized I've been using the wrong name for the bushes. They're not service berries, they're golden currants.
Galina L. said…
No I didn't know rose hips were used here in fruit teas. Somehow a fruit tea is the product I don't buy. My mom dry rose hips when the season,and drink it at winter time, but I don't share her liking for it. Like many Russian families, me and my husband take tea drinking too seriously, I buy a loose-leaf tea mostly from middle-eastern stores. Sometimes we add to our tea cranberries, or thinly sliced apple, or lemon.

Popular posts from this blog

Dana Carpender's Podcast; Dr. Davis on YouTube; Labor Day Sales

Dana Carpender, who's written several recipe books and other works on low-carb, has a podcast and is still writing articles at carbsmart.com. She's a terrific writer and amateur researcher (otherwise known as reading , as Jimmy Dore jokes ). I use her book 500 Low-Carb Recipes all the time and I'm looking forward to hearing more from her. I've embedded her podcast on my blog (click on the three lines at the top right if you don't see it, or go to Spotify or other podcast source if you're getting this by email). Carbsmart.com doesn't seem to have a blog feed, so if you want to see the latest posts there, you can sign up for notifications at their site. Dr. Davis has been putting a lot more videos on YouTube, so I've added his channel to the lineup. Click on the three lines on my blog if you don't see it, or go to his channel here .  * * * * * Primal Kitchen is having a Labor Day sale-- 20% off everything. They sell high quality collagen powder, con...

Fermented bread and butter pickle recipe ft. L. Plantarum

After Dr. Davis said the other night that  L. plantarum  may reduce some of the effects of the herbicide glyphosate (which is everywhere), I'm re-running my recipe for fermented bread and butter pickles. Pickling cucumbers naturally have  L. plantarum  bacteria on them, and fermenting them with some brown sugar multiplies these bacteria. (Just don't use chlorinated water to wash them.) And if you're growing your own cucumbers, avoid spraying the fruits with  Bacillus thuringiensis , or Bt (leaves and vines are OK). It's unclear what effect a big dose of Bt would have on humans. Another benefit of DIY pickles: no emulsifiers like polysorbate 80, which is a common ingredient in pickles. If you have GI problems, it could be from emulsifiers. These sweet-and-sour pickles are the tastiest I've ever made. There's just a little added sugar (some of which the bacteria will consume) and turmeric that gives the pickles their bright color.  Special equipment Quar...

Cardio: A Waste of Valuable Dance Time

"I'd rather hold a girl in my arms than a football." -Joe DeCicco, friend and dancing fanatic Have you heard that it takes a woman 77 hours of exercise to lose a kilogram of fat? (For us Americans, that's half a pound.) That's according to a study cited by Dr. John Briffa .(1) The women who huffed and puffed three hours a week for a year ended up 4.4 pounds lighter than the sedentary women. That doesn't surprise me: my own weight loss involved a lot less exercise than what I'd been doing. I did no cardio workouts, just strength training . I had more time and energy for dancing, which is a stress reliever, helps keep me in shape, and it's a ton of fun. It's not expensive to dance (as long as you stay away from the studios). I've found excellent lessons at clubs where the teachers really care about the students getting it. Here in Denver, there are dancing clubs that are run by nonprofit organizations, where the prices are reasonable and...

Avoiding a Nightmare by Using Math

The answer lies in trigonometry. -Sherlock Holmes Don't worry if you never learned trigonometry--the answers here lie in arithmetic. Medical test results often come back positive or negative, as if the result were a certainty. Of course, there is the accuracy, but if the accuracy is 99% or so, what does that really mean? That you should get your affairs in order? Before you call your probate attorney, let's take an example from the book Calculated Risks by Gerd Gigerenzer. Let's say you're a 40-something year old woman with no symptoms of breast cancer. You have a positive mammogram. What are the odds you have breast cancer? Using some assumptions about test accuracy and rates of disease based on real data, the odds that you'd have breast cancer are one in eleven according to Gigerenzer. (If you were way off, don't feel bad--most of the physicians Gigerenzer tested were way off, too--and they had the data in front of them. Not that that's comforting in every...

Lousy Mood? It Could be the Food

Here's a funny AMV(1) on what it's like to be depressed, apathetic and overly sensitive. Note: explicit (but funny) lyrics in the video. Hearing this song brought a startling realization: I used to be emo, but with normal clothes. Sulking, sobbing and writing poetry were my hobbies. When I was a kid, my mother said that she wouldn't know what to do to punish me if I had done something wrong. And yet things got worse. Over a two-week period in 1996, my best friend moved away, I lost my job and broke up with my boyfriend. I lost my appetite and lived on a daily bagel, cream cheese and a Coke for the next few months. I had tried counseling, and didn't find it helpful; in fact, I found reviving painful memories was pointless. Not thinking about them, on the other hand, worked wonders. Later on, so did studying philosophy and learning to think through emotions instead of just riding through them. But what's blown away all the techniques is diet. Since I s...